An Election. Again.

As a committed Remainer, you might think I’d be pleased that there will be another General Election in June. An opportunity to stop the madness that is Brexit, perhaps. And yet, as optimistic a person as I try to be, I’m not terribly excited. Truth be told, it’s rather filled me with gloom.

Theresa May would have you believe that the election is necessary to stifle dissent from other parties within Westminster to Hard Brexit. And to turn the screw on Remainers within the Lords. Rubbish. Her majority is slim, but workable. She does not need any other party to pass the legislation that she wants. And the Lords aren’t up for election. And even if they were, they’ve hardly put up any sort of meaningful resistance to hard Brexit so far.

The reality is that the Conservative party is experiencing popularity that it hasn’t seen since Thatcher’s ‘Task Force’ retook the Falkland Islands. There’s a fabulous opportunity to add 50, maybe even 100 seats to the Tory majority. And a couple of years extra to their term. The Labour Party are in a state of total collapse, haemorraging voters, like myself, by the hundreds of thousands. Corbyn has turned them into a shambles.

This election is simply an exercise in taking advantage of the moment, to fill up Westminster with a bit more blue. This is exactly the sort of thing that the Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011 was supposed to prevent. The election, in short, should not be happening.

So we’re doomed. Probably. But one should try and be a little optimistic. Where there is life, and all that. This election is perhaps the last chance to stop Hard Brexit. How so? Well…

The EU referendum left the UK in a bit of a political muddle. Remainer MPs stuck in Leave heartlands. And Leavers in pro EU territory – one Tory has already lost his seat to the Lib Dems in the aftermath of Brexit. There’s perhaps more uncertainty in voting intentions than ever before. One can but hope there’s enough uncertainty in the market to translate to an upset of sorts.

I will vote for the Liberal Democrats. They are the sole party of any substance that are campaigning to keep the UK in the EU. For any chance of that happening, they desperately need to win back the forty nine seats they lost in 2015. Even then, the best hope is for a Liberal/Labour coalition. Which will still almost certainly mean we leave the EU, but would also likely mean we stay in the Single Market. Given the current situation, I’d take that. Gladly.

But I couldn’t overstate how unlikely this is to happen. I shall promote the Liberals. I shall cross my fingers. I shall vote on June 8th, as will Mrs P incidentally. But I shan’t be getting terribly excited about the whole thing. Not unless events turn significantly for the better. SAD.

 

4 thoughts on “An Election. Again.

  1. Sounds like a plan. Most of my votes over the years have been against, rather than for. An old worn out clothespin for the nose and voting I do go.

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    1. One doesn’t really have to hold one’s nose when voting Liberal Democrat. There’s a lot to like about them. Decent bunch, reasonable policies and pretty much zero political baggage from previous administrations. That is one of the plus points of not being in sole government for more than a century.

      So I can vote for the Liberal Democrats, rather than against anyone else. That they are unlikely to be in a position to form a government by themselves for at least another century is a minus point. But there is always the hope that they might do well enough, and the Tories poorly enough, to force themselves into a coalition government.

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  2. My conversation with Linda last evening was about the best “possible” outcome: it would be May being forced into a coalition government with her snap election ploy. With the ultra left controlling Labor at the present, the LDs would get my vote in this election if I had a vote.

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    1. I’d like to see the Libs do well enough to force themselves into a coalition. As per above. But who with? I’ve been a Labour voter most of my adult life, but I’d instinctively go for the Tories due purely to Corbyn’s leadership of Labour.

      This is a tough one. Real tough. Can you see the Tories accepting that we remain part of the single market as a condition of Liberal Democrat co-operation? I’m not convinced. The very best I think they’d get would be the promise of a second referendum when a deal is done. Would that be good enough for the Libs? I’d hope not.

      Which would leave a Labour/Liberal coalition. And then we enter that political territory that you’ve referred to, where one holds ones nose…

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